Houston Stadium · Houston
Win probability
Portugal are heavy favourites.
The story
Portugal are unbeaten in all six of their most recent home World Cup matches and have opened the scoring first in eight of their last ten World Cup fixtures, while Cristiano Ronaldo carries the squad's highest average xG of 0.79 across their ten most recent World Cup matches. Uzbekistan have failed to win in five of their six most recent away matches and have not scored a late goal in eight of their last ten fixtures, averaging just 0.5 goals per away match in their last five outings. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in four of the last five World Cup meetings between these two sides.
What the data says
- Portugal have won 4 out of their 5 most recent home World Cup matches.
- Uzbekistan have lost 3 out of their 3 most recent matches.
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