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    Group KWed, Jun 17, 5:00 PM UTC
    Portugal
    vs
    DR Congo

    Houston Stadium · Houston

    Win probability

    Portugal 73%
    Draw 18%
    DR Congo 9%

    Portugal are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Portugal have not played a World Cup match in over 1,285 days, with their last appearance a 1-0 victory, while Bruno Fernandes leads their recent World Cup performers with an average rating of 7.69. Congo DR arrive unbeaten in 9 of their last 11 matches, with Gaël Kakuta posting the highest average xG and average rating among their players across their 10 most recent games. The last three meetings between these sides have all produced under 1.5 goals, and Congo DR have conceded just 0.4 goals per match across their last five outings.

    What the data says

    • Portugal have won 4 out of their 4 most recent home World Cup matches.

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