San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Santa Clara
Win probability
Paraguay have the edge — but it's far from a lock.
The story
Paraguay have won 6 of their 7 most recent home matches and conceded zero goals across their one home fixture in their last five, while goals have stayed under 3.5 in 7 of the last 8 World Cup meetings between these two sides. Julio Enciso leads Paraguay in both average xG (0.36) and average rating (7.13) across their last ten matches, with Nestory Irankunda carrying the equivalent attacking threat for Australia at 0.28 xG and 0.70 xGOT per match. Patrick Beach holds the highest average rating for Australia in their last ten World Cup matches at 8.39.
What the data says
- Paraguay have won 6 out of their 7 most recent home matches.
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