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    Group LTue, Jun 23, 11:00 PM UTC
    Panama
    vs
    Croatia

    Toronto Stadium · Toronto

    Win probability

    Panama 14%
    Draw 24%
    Croatia 62%

    Croatia are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Panama are unbeaten in 32 of their 38 most recent home matches, while Croatia have lost both of their last two away World Cup fixtures and conceded an average of 3.5 goals per match in those games. Neither side has been first to score frequently in recent World Cup play, with Croatia failing to open the scoring in seven of their last eight such matches, and Ismael Díaz — Panama's highest-rated player with an average rating of 7.16 — leads their attack with an average xG of 0.49 per match.

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