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    Group ITue, Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC
    Norway
    vs
    Senegal

    New York New Jersey Stadium · East Rutherford

    Win probability

    Norway 41%
    Draw 28%
    Senegal 32%

    Norway have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Norway have won 10 of their 12 most recent home matches and opened the scoring first in 17 of their last 20 games overall. Senegal are unbeaten in 4 of their 5 most recent away World Cup matches, though they have conceded 2.0 goals per match in their last 5 World Cup fixtures, with both teams scoring in 8 of Norway's last 10 games. Kalidou Koulibaly is absent from Senegal's squad for this match.

    What the data says

    • Norway have won 10 out of their 12 most recent home matches.

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