Dallas Stadium · Arlington
Win probability
Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.
The story
Netherlands are unbeaten in 83 of their 100 most recent matches, and Memphis Depay leads their recent performers with an average rating of 7.86 across their last 10 games. Japan's last World Cup appearance came 1,291 days ago — a 2-1 win over Morocco on 1 December 2022 — and they have not scored an early goal in any of their six most recent World Cup matches. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in four of the last five World Cup meetings between these sides.
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