The story

Colombia are unbeaten in 81 of their last 99 matches and have opened the scoring in 22 of their last 27 games, with Luis Suárez leading their attack with an average xG of 0.68 per match over their last ten. Congo DR arrive having gone unbeaten in 16 of their last 20 fixtures, conceding just 0.4 goals per match across their last five, with Gaël Kakuta their standout performer at both ends — posting an average xG of 1.59 and an average rating of 7.3. Neither side has scored an early goal in their most recent run of matches, and head-to-head history shows under 2.5 goals in 35 of the last 43 meetings between these two.