New York New Jersey Stadium · East Rutherford
Win probability
Brazil are heavy favourites.
The story
Brazil have won all three of their last five World Cup matches played at home, keeping clean sheets in each of those home victories, while Morocco have lost both of their last five World Cup away matches. Casemiro carries the strongest head-to-head pedigree of any player in this fixture with an average rating of 8.06 against Morocco, and both sides return to the World Cup after an absence of roughly 1,285 days. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in eight of the last nine World Cup meetings between these sides, with the average winning margin in their head-to-head history standing at just one goal.
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