The story

Brazil are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent World Cup matches and have scored first in 6 of their last 7 in the competition, with Igor Thiago leading their attacking threat at an average xG of 0.53 per match. Neymar is absent from Brazil's squad, leaving Vinicius Junior as their top shot-quality performer with an average xGOT of 0.50 across their last 10 World Cup matches. Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in 8 of the last 10 World Cup meetings between these two sides, and neither team has scored a late goal in the majority of their recent matches.