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    Group JWed, Jun 17, 1:00 AM UTC
    Argentina
    vs
    Algeria

    Kansas City Stadium · Kansas City

    Win probability

    Argentina 67%
    Draw 21%
    Algeria 12%

    Argentina are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Algeria arrive unbeaten in 87 of their last 95 matches and have scored first in 9 of their 11 most recent games, while Argentina have not played a World Cup match since December 2022 — a gap of more than 1,200 days. The last 9 World Cup meetings between these two sides have produced under 3.5 goals in 8 of them, and neither team has scored early or late goals with any regularity in recent outings. Lionel Messi is absent for Argentina, with the forward holding the highest average rating among Argentina's World Cup players at 7.94 across their last ten such matches.

    What the data says

    • Argentina have won 4 out of their 4 most recent World Cup matches.
    • Algeria have won 13 out of their 16 most recent matches.
    • Algeria are unbeaten in 87 out of their 95 most recent matches.

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